Sunday, April 27, 2008
Down to the wire
Football certainly brings out the geeky statto in people.
Here’s the portion of the Championship table that matters.
Wolves must move up one place to get into the playoffs and a chance at a year in the Premiership (where they can then emulate Derby).
The remaining games are:
• Wolves v Plymouth
• Palace v Burnley
• Blackpool v Watford
If Wolves LOSE then Doom – it doesn’t matter which way the other games go.
If Wolves DRAW then Palace must lose by a tonne of goals (eight) so that their Goal Difference (GD) drops. If the GD is equal for both teams then Goals For becomes important. Crystal Palace are currently on 53 goals while Wolves are on 52 but Palace would need to be losing only 7:0 for that to start to become important.
As above, the “Goals For” comes important if Watford draw and Wolves are only winning by a 2-goal margin. In that case, Wolves would need to score 10 more goals than Watford do on the day.
There will be a Play-off match to decide who gets to play in the Play-offs in the following unlikely situations:
• Wolves Draw, Watford Win but Palace lose by exactly 7 goals and score one less than Wolves on the day
• Palace Win, Watford Draw but Wolves Win by exactly 2 goals and score 9 (nine) more than Watford on the day
Here’s the portion of the Championship table that matters.
| Played | Goals For | Points | Goal Difference | |
| Watford | 45 | 61 | 69 | +6 |
| Crystal Palace | 45 | 53 | 68 | +11 |
| Wolves | 45 | 52 | 67 | +4 |
Wolves must move up one place to get into the playoffs and a chance at a year in the Premiership (where they can then emulate Derby).
The remaining games are:
• Wolves v Plymouth
• Palace v Burnley
• Blackpool v Watford
If Wolves LOSE then Doom – it doesn’t matter which way the other games go.
If Wolves DRAW then Palace must lose by a tonne of goals (eight) so that their Goal Difference (GD) drops. If the GD is equal for both teams then Goals For becomes important. Crystal Palace are currently on 53 goals while Wolves are on 52 but Palace would need to be losing only 7:0 for that to start to become important.
| If Wolves WIN then | Watford Win | Watford Draw | Watford Lose |
| Palace Win | Doom | Wolves must win 3:0 | Playoff |
| Palace Lose or Draw | Playoff | Playoff | Playoff |
As above, the “Goals For” comes important if Watford draw and Wolves are only winning by a 2-goal margin. In that case, Wolves would need to score 10 more goals than Watford do on the day.
There will be a Play-off match to decide who gets to play in the Play-offs in the following unlikely situations:
• Wolves Draw, Watford Win but Palace lose by exactly 7 goals and score one less than Wolves on the day
• Palace Win, Watford Draw but Wolves Win by exactly 2 goals and score 9 (nine) more than Watford on the day
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